The dynamics of political party support and egocentric economic evaluations: The Scottish case

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Title: The dynamics of political party support and egocentric economic evaluations: The Scottish case
Authors: Chrysanthou, Georgios Marios | Guillo, Maria Dolores
Research Group/s: Desarrollo, Métodos Cuantitativos y Teoría Económica (DMCTE)
Center, Department or Service: Universidad de Alicante. Departamento de Fundamentos del Análisis Económico
Keywords: Egocentric economic evaluations | Political preferences | Unobserved heterogeneity | Voting
Knowledge Area: Fundamentos del Análisis Económico
Issue Date: Mar-2018
Publisher: Elsevier
Citation: European Journal of Political Economy. 2018, 52: 192-213. doi:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2017.06.003
Abstract: We explore the dynamics of the Scottish National Party (SNP) support using the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) during 1999–06. We study the relative importance of political sentiments and egocentric economic evaluations by disentangling the effects of state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity by gender. Egocentric economic evaluations constitute an important determinant of SNP support over the entire period, being this effect stronger among the male electorate. The results are consistent with the electors holding the incumbent Labour Party accountable for their personal financial situation, though financial security augments the nationalist propensity among partisan voters. Furthermore, retrospective economic evaluations form a significant determinant of incumbent Labour Party support in both the 1999–02 and 2003–06 intervening electoral cycles.
Sponsor: We gratefully acknowledge partial financial support from the Spanish Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad and the Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional through the grants ECO2013-43119-P, ECO2015-70540-P, ECO2016-77200-P (MINECO/FEDER), and the University of Alicante through the grant GRE13-04.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10045/73929
ISSN: 0176-2680 (Print) | 1873-5703 (Online)
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2017.06.003
Language: eng
Type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
Rights: © 2017 Elsevier B.V.
Peer Review: si
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2017.06.003
Appears in Collections:INV - DMCTE - Artículos de Revistas

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